Simon Hug1 2 , Sandra Penic3
First version: October 2022,
this version: Dec 4, 2022
Paper prepared for presentation at the the Political Economy of Democracy and Dictatorship conference (Münster, February 23-25th, 2023)
Exposure to violence and social trust in Eurasia
Exposure to violence and social trust in Eurasia
Abstract
While scholars acknowledge that understanding the social and political
consequences of conflict and violence are of utmust importance for
post-conflict reconciliation, the nascent literature in this area
comes often to quite conflicting conclusions. Thus, whether exposure
to violence increases trust through post-traumatic growth, or whether
it decreases it through distress or fear is, despite numerous studies,
still unclear. We argue that this is largely due to the fact that both
in terms of the main independent variable (exposure to violence) and
the main dependent variable (trust) most of these studies differ
considerably. Drawing on a set of surveys carried out in several
Eurasian countries affected by conflict and violence and information
on the geographic location of violent events, we assess whether the
type of violence (perpepetrator and target) affects social trust in a
differences-in-differences design. As expected we can show that the
effect of violence is heterogenous.
1 Département de science politique et relations
internationales, Université de Genève, 40 Bd du Pont d'Arve,
1211 Genève 4; Switzerland, phone +41 22 379 83 78, email:
simon.hug@unige.ch.
2 CefES research fellow, Università degli Studi di Milano-Bicocca
3 Département de science politique et relations
internationales, Université de Genève, 40 Bd du Pont d'Arve,
1211 Genève 4; Switzerland, email: Sandra.PenicJunge@unige.ch
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