model 1 | model 2 | model3 | model 4 | |
b | b | b | b | |
(s.e.) | (s.e.) | (s.e.) | (s.e.) | |
preference for party in government |
1.26 | |||
(0.05) | ||||
(idem) required |
1.4 | |||
(0.06) | ||||
(idem) non-required |
1.07 | |||
(0.07) | ||||
(idem) binding |
1.44 | |||
(0.06) | ||||
(idem) non-binding |
0.93 | |||
(0.08) | ||||
(idem) binding/required |
1.40 | |||
(0.06) | ||||
(idem) binding/non-required |
1.75 | |||
(0.19) | ||||
(idem) non-binding/non-required |
0.93 | |||
(0.08) | ||||
no party preference |
0.19 | 0.21 | 0.22 | 0.21 |
(0.05) | (0.05) | (0.05) | (0.05) | |
Denmark 1986 |
-1.16 | -1.17 | -1.17 | -1.17 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
Denmark 1992 |
-1.6 | -1.6 | -1.6 | -1.6 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
Finland 1994 |
-0.56 | -0.56 | -0.56 | -0.56 |
(0.10) | (0.11) | (0.11) | (0.11) | |
France 1992 |
-1.09 | -1.02 | -1.07 | -1.12 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | (0.11) | |
Ireland 1972 |
-1.54 | -1.57 | -1.58 | -1.57 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
Ireland 1992 |
-1.00 | -1.03 | -1.03 | -1.03 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
Norway 1972 |
-1.46 | -1.37 | -1.31 | -1.32 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
Norway 1994 |
-0.99 | -0.9 | -0.85 | -0.86 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
Switzerland 1992 |
-1.53 | -1.43 | -1.37 | -1.38 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | (0.11) | (0.11) | |
constant |
0.98 | 0.94 | 0.93 | 0.94 |
0.08 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.08 | |
n |
12998 | 12998 | 12998 | 12998 |
-2 log-likelihood |
12431.55 | 12419.55 | 12406.2 | 12403.28 |
percentage of correctly predicted cases |
65.84 | 66.22 | 66.22 | 66.22 |
Table 7: Partisanship and institutions (political defintions) in ten votes (weighted samples, excluding Denmark 1972 and 1993, Great Britain 1975 and Sweden 1994)
model 1 | model 2 | model3 | model 4 | |
b | b | b | b | |
(s.e.) | (s.e.) | (s.e.) | (s.e.) | |
preference for party in government |
1.26 | |||
(0.05) | ||||
(idem) required |
1.32 | |||
(0.06) | ||||
(idem) not required |
1.11 | |||
(0.08) | ||||
(idem) binding |
1.37 | |||
(0.05) | ||||
(idem) non-binding |
0.37 | |||
(0.13) | ||||
(idem) binding/required |
1.32 | |||
(0.06) | ||||
(idem) binding/non-required |
1.56 | |||
(0.11) | ||||
(idem) non-binding/non-required |
0.37 | |||
(0.13) | ||||
no party preference |
0.19 | 0.20 | 0.21 | 0.2 |
(0.05 | (0.05) | (0.05) | (0.05) | |
Denmark 1986 |
-1.16 | -1.16 | -1.17 | -1.16 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
Denmark 1992 |
-1.6 | -1.6 | -1.6 | -1.6 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
Finland 1994 |
-0.56 | -0.56 | -0.56 | -0.56 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
France 1992 |
-1.09 | -1.05 | -1.08 | -1.12 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
Ireland 1972 |
-1.54 | -1.55 | -1.56 | -1.55 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | 0.1 | (0.10) | |
Ireland 1992 |
-1 | -1.01 | -1.02 | -1.01 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | 0.1 | (0.10) | |
Norway 1972 |
-1.46 | -1.47 | -1.47 | -1.47 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
Norway 1994 |
-0.99 | -0.93 | -0.7 | -0.71 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | (0.11) | |
Switzerland 1992 |
-1.53 | -1.47 | -1.54 | -1.62 |
(0.10) | (0.11) | (0.10) | (0.101) | |
constant |
0.98 | 0.96 | 0.95 | 0.96 |
(0.08) | (0.08) | (0.08) | (0.08) | |
n |
12998 | 12998 | 12998 | 12998 |
-2 log-likelihood |
12431.55 | 12427.63 | 12387.48 | 12384.03 |
percentage of correctly predicted cases |
65.84 | 66.58 | 66.22 | 66.58 |
Table 8: Partisanship and institutions (formal definitions) in thirteen votes (weighted samples, excluding Great Britain 1975)
model 1 | model 2 | model3 | model 4 | |
b | b | b | b | |
(s.e.) | (s.e.) | (s.e.) | (s.e.) | |
preference for party in government |
0.77 | |||
(0.04) | ||||
(idem) required |
0.96 | |||
(0.06) | ||||
(idem) non-required |
0.58 | |||
(0.05) | ||||
(idem) binding |
1.03 | |||
(0.05) | ||||
(idem) non-binding |
0.44 | |||
(0.06) | ||||
(idem) binding/required |
0.96 | |||
(0.06) | ||||
(idem) binding/non-required |
1.70 | |||
(0.19) | ||||
(idem) non-binding/non-required |
0.44 | |||
(0.06) | ||||
no party preference |
-0.03 | -0.01 | 0 | -0.01 |
(0.04) | (0.04) | (0.04) | (0.04) | |
Denmark 1972 |
-1.51 | -1.38 | -1.31 | -1.33 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
Denmark 1986 |
-1.14 | -1.15 | -1.15 | -1.15 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
Denmark 1992 |
-1.61 | -1.6 | -1.6 | -1.6 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
Denmark 1993 |
-0.55 | -0.55 | -0.55 | -0.55 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
Finland 1994 |
-1.15 | -1.05 | -1.12 | -1.24 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | (0.11) | |
France 1992 |
-1.43 | -1.45 | -1.46 | -1.45 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
Ireland 1972 |
-1.17 | -1.07 | -1.01 | -1.03 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
Ireland 1992 |
-0.92 | -0.95 | -0.96 | -0.95 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
Norway 1972 |
-1.34 | -1.2 | -1.13 | -1.15 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
Norway 1994 |
-1.46 | -1.34 | -1.27 | -1.29 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
Sweden 1994 |
-0.99 | -0.88 | -0.82 | -0.84 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
Switzerland 1992 |
-0.8 | -0.8 | -0.8 | -0.8 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
constant |
1.17 | 1.11 | 1.09 | 1.11 |
(0.08) | (0.08) | (0.08) | (0.08) | |
n |
17271 | 17271 | 17271 | 17271 |
-2 log-likelihood |
16760.93 | 16738.62 | 16709.77 | 16695.52 |
percentage of correctly predicted cases |
62.8 | 63.78 | 64.18 | 64.18 |
Table 9: Partisanship and institutions (political definitions) in thirteen votes (weighted samples, excluding Great Britain 1975)
model 1 | model 2 | model3 | model 4 | |
b | b | b | b | |
(s.e.) | (s.e.) | (s.e.) | (s.e.) | |
preference for party in government |
0.77 | |||
(0.04) | ||||
(idem) required |
0.84 | |||
(0.05) | ||||
(idem) non-required |
0.62 | |||
(0.07) | ||||
(idem) binding |
0.81 | |||
(0.04) | ||||
(idem) non-binding |
0.3 | |||
(0.13) | ||||
(idem) binding/required |
0.84 | |||
(0.05) | ||||
(idem) binding/non-required |
0.73 | |||
(0.08) | ||||
(idem) non-binding/non-required |
0.3 | |||
(0.13) | ||||
no party preference |
-0.03 | -0.02 | -0.03 | -0.02 |
(0.04) | (0.04) | (0.04) | (0.04) | |
Denmark 1972 |
-1.51 | -1.43 | -1.51 | -1.47 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
Denmark 1986 |
-1.14 | -1.14 | -1.14 | -1.14 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
Denmark 1992 |
-1.61 | -1.61 | -1.61 | -1.61 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
Denmark 1993 |
-0.55 | -0.55 | -0.55 | -0.55 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
Finland 1994 |
-1.15 | -1.09 | -1.14 | -1.12 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
France 1992 |
-1.43 | -1.44 | -1.43 | -1.44 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
Ireland 1972 |
-1.17 | -1.17 | -1.17 | -1.17 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
Ireland 1992 |
-0.92 | -0.93 | -0.93 | -0.93 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
Norway 1972 |
-1.34 | -1.26 | -1.34 | -1.3 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | (0.11) | |
Norway 1994 |
-1.46 | -1.46 | -1.46 | -1.46 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
Sweden 1994 |
-0.99 | -0.93 | -0.84 | -0.83 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | (0.11) | (0.11) | |
Switzerland 1992 |
-0.8 | -0.8 | -0.8 | -0.8 |
(0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
constant |
1.17 | 1.15 | 1.16 | 1.15 |
(0.08) | (0.08) | (0.08) | (0.08) | |
n |
17271 | 17271 | 17271 | 17271 |
-2 log-likelihood |
16760.93 | 16754.25 | 16748.82 | 16747.37 |
percentage of correctly predicted cases |
62.8 | 61.41 | 61.71 | 61.41 |