Civilian Victimization and Forced Recruitment
1
Simon Hug2 ,
Livia I. Schubiger3
Paper prepared for presentation at the
ISA Annual Convention (Atlanta, March 16-19, 2016)
First version: August 2015, this version: Jul 26, 2015
Abstract
Recent theoretical work on violence against civilians and child
soldiering assumes that a rebel leader (or government) simply faces
some incentive structures in the local civilian population as well as
some environmental constraints (including those imposed by
adversaries), from which more or less technological benefits from
specific strategies of violence and recruitment result. Empirical
work, however, suggests that the strategies adopted by government and
rebel leaders are dynamic and interdependent, and that the strategies
of violence pursued by one group influence the recruitment practices
adopted by the other. Based on this observation we propose a
game-theoretical model taking into account the interactions between a
rebel group leader and government (and/or possibly another armed group
leader) as they consider their relationship with the civilian
population. The model highlights the importance of these interactions
and as a consequence sheds new light on the observed interdependencies
in forced recruitment among and violence against civilians.
Footnotes:
1 F i n a n c i a l s u p p o r t b y t h e S w i s s N e t w o r k f o r I n t e r n a t i o n a l S t u d i e s i s g r a t e f u l l y a c k n o w l e d g e d .
2 D ' e p a r t e m e n t d e s c i e n c e p o l i t i q u e e t r e l a t i o n s
i n t e r n a t i o n a l e s , U n i v e r s i t ' e d e G e n ` e v e , 4 0 B d d u P o n t d ' A r v e ,
1 2 1 1 G e n ` e v e 4 ; S w i t z e r l a n d , p h o n e + 4 1 2 2 3 7 9 8 3 7 8 , e m a i l :
s i m o n . h u g @ u n i g e . c h .
3 C e n t e r f o r C o m p a r a t i v e a n d
I n t e r n a t i o n a l S t u d i e s ( C I S ) , I n s t i t u t e o f P o l i t i c a l S c i e n c e ,
U n i v e r s i t y o f Z u r i c h , A f f o l t e r n s t r a s s e 5 6 , 8 0 5 0 Z u r i c h ,
S w i t z e r l a n d ; e m a i l : s c h u b i g e r @ p w . u z h . c h
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